A documented record · Updated September 4, 2026

Rigged before
the vote.

In 2020, they tried to overturn an election after losing it. The pattern documented here runs the other direction: change who counts the votes, who certifies them, who can cast them, and who is watching — before a single ballot is cast.

Below: 52 documented election-interfering actions. Every fact is sourced, every opinion is labeled, and the unprecedented and the unlawful are flagged as such, with the basis stated.

—

Days until Nov 3, 2026

Documented instances of Trump publicly undermining trust in American elections. 7 from the 2020–2025 record, in the prehistory · 12 in the 2026 record — . Counted per documented entry, so this is conservative: CREW alone logged 500+ Truth Social posts repeating 2020 conspiracy claims. Criteria in Method.

“The taking of democracy does not occur in one fell swoop; it is chipped away piece-by-piece until there is nothing left.”
U.S. District Judge David O. Carter, dismissing a DOJ voter-roll lawsuit, January 2026

How to read this page

Facts and takes are separated. On purpose.

The facts

Every card below documents an action with dates, names, and direct quotes, and links to its sources — 173 citations across major outlets, court records, and official statements, including right-leaning outlets where they covered the story. If a claim is contested or single-sourced, the card says so. We would rather publish nothing than publish something wrong.

Our take

When we editorialize, it looks like this block: labeled, set apart, and easy to skip. Here is our take, up front: taken together, this record describes a sustained effort to decide the 2026 midterms before they are held. You do not have to accept that conclusion — the sources are all here. Read them and decide for yourself.

Where things stand

The scoreboard

Each of the 52 documented actions carries a status. The proportions tell the story: most of this is not hypothetical.

21 In Effect 8 In Court 7 Threatened 14 On the Record 2 Blocked

The evidence wall

The record

Filter by category or status. Click any card for the full facts, our labeled take where we have one, and every source.

Category 52 / 52 shown

Status

Flags

In Court Ruled Unlawful The Voter Data Dragnet Sep 3, 2026

The DOJ Sues 30 States for Voter Files and Loses Twenty-One Straight Times

Trump's DOJ has filed roughly 30 lawsuits against 29 states plus D.C. demanding voter registration data: names, addresses, birthdates, partial Social Security numbers, and driver's license numbers, using a Civil Rights Act provision written to protect Black voters.

▸ 12 facts · 11 sources ▾ Collapse

Trump's DOJ has filed roughly 30 lawsuits against 29 states plus D.C. demanding voter registration data: names, addresses, birthdates, partial Social Security numbers, and driver's license numbers, using a Civil Rights Act provision written to protect Black voters.
It is 0-for-21 in court, with no wins, losing every resolved case. Twelve of the losses came from judges appointed by Republican presidents, eight of them Trump's own. Trump appointee Judge Mary McElroy called the Rhode Island demand a "fishing expedition"; Judge Lance Walker in Maine noted an executive order contradicted DOJ assurances that no national database was being built.
Twelve Republican-led states complied voluntarily, so the data campaign advances even as it loses in court.
An NBC News review found the DOJ still cannot substantiate Trump's claims of widespread voter fraud months before the midterms.
On July 29, 2026, U.S. District Judge Zahid Quraishi dismissed the DOJ's demand for New Jersey's unredacted voter rolls, its eighteenth straight loss, noting that judges in more than a dozen other states had reached the same conclusion.
On August 3, 2026, U.S. District Judge Philip Brimmer, a George W. Bush appointee, dismissed the DOJ's demand for Colorado's voter rolls with prejudice, its twentieth straight loss; the nineteenth was a dismissal in Illinois. The department has also lost the only appellate ruling so far.
On August 6-7, 2026, U.S. District Judge Randolph Moss dismissed the DOJ's demand for the District of Columbia's full voter list, its twenty-first straight loss; a Washington State case argued August 4 was still undecided. The DOJ has appealed 16 of the losses, and the 6th Circuit has already rejected one (Michigan).
In early September 2026, Georgia released an audit of roughly 7.9 million voter registrations. It found the rolls more than 99.9% accurate with no evidence of malicious manipulation, and estimated that no more than 0.1% of records would have allowed a vote despite an unverified identity, invalid address, or citizenship problem.
The audit did find errors: about 2,570 potential noncitizens had at some point been placed in active or inactive status, 407 of them with a voting history. Auditors traced the cause to coding mistakes in the Department of Driver Services licensing process and to county verification failures, not to intentional registration by noncitizens.
Georgia joins nearly two dozen states that have run similar reviews over the past two years and found scant evidence of noncitizen voting at a scale capable of changing outcomes.
On September 1 and 2, 2026, reporting described a planned federal voter fraud inquiry in Georgia, and DHS subpoenaed voter files from Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. The subpoena sought 13 files. Gabe Sterling, Raffensperger's director of special projects, called that relatively modest against Georgia's eight million-plus voters and said other states had received similar requests.
DHS cited more than 24,000 cases flagged by the SAVE system as potential noncitizens on voter rolls since April 2025. A federal court vacated the rebuilt SAVE system as unlawful in June 2026, and when Virginia checked its own SAVE flags, 94% of the people identified as noncitizens were U.S. citizens.

Ruled Unlawful: Twenty-one straight federal court losses with no wins, twelve before Republican-appointed judges (eight of them Trump's); one called the demand a "fishing expedition" that "lacks a legally sufficient basis."

Sources

In Court Constitutional Conflict Seizing the Machinery Sep 1, 2026

The Post Office Finalizes Its Ballot-Refusal Rule While a Court Order Blocks It

Under the rule implementing Trump's mail-voting order, USPS would deliver mail ballots only for states that hand over their voter lists 60 or more days before the election and put a unique tracking barcode on every ballot. USPS could refuse noncompliant ballots.

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Under the rule implementing Trump's mail-voting order, USPS would deliver mail ballots only for states that hand over their voter lists 60 or more days before the election and put a unique tracking barcode on every ballot. USPS could refuse noncompliant ballots.
On June 24, Postmaster General David Steiner confirmed under oath that USPS would not deliver ballots for states that refuse to hand over voter rolls: "Under our proposed regulation? No."
A district judge blocked the rule in early July. On July 17, a three-judge appeals panel temporarily lifted that injunction, letting the rule advance while litigation continues.
Implementation must happen before mid-September, when ballot mailing begins. Missing barcodes or mismatched records could delay or void ballots, hitting elderly, disabled, and rural voters hardest.
On August 11, 2026, a federal judge in Massachusetts issued a preliminary injunction barring USPS from implementing Section 3 of the executive order for the November elections, finding the provision likely unconstitutional.
On August 21, USPS issued its final rule implementing that same section anyway, effective immediately, stating it will be implemented "immediately" for the November elections if the injunctive orders are lifted.
Plaintiffs in League of Women Voters of Massachusetts v. Trump moved to enforce the court's order, asking the court to confirm the rule "has no force or effect" before November and to bar USPS from taking "no implementation or preparatory steps" this year.
The Supreme Court's August 24 order lifted the other injunction, the June one covering the suing states. The August 11 nationwide injunction that reaches this USPS rule survives. Election law professor Rick Hasen expects the trial court to amend it to bar implementation of the now-final rule outright.
The rule requires election officials to submit each mail voter's name and address to a new USPS portal, along with unique Intelligent Mail barcodes assigned to the envelopes used to send and return that voter's ballot.
Postal officials and election administrators warned in late August that the timing invites mismatched barcodes, incomplete records and technical failures across thousands of local election offices, any of which could stop an eligible voter from receiving a ballot. The objection is operational, not ideological.
On August 26, 2026, states sued to block the rule, two days after the Supreme Court lifted the other injunction. USPS still cannot implement it for November 3, because the nationwide injunction was not before the Court.
On August 27, 2026, Judge Talwani did exactly what Hasen predicted: she granted a 14-day temporary restraining order blocking the final rule, in the League of Women Voters case and in a parallel state case, finding the challengers likely to win both on unconstitutionality and on USPS lacking authority to issue the rule at all.
Talwani noted the administration had not offered "any evidence regarding fraudulent absentee or mail-in voting," and wrote that the government's interest in "correcting an unsubstantiated problem through likely unconstitutional means is dwarfed by the overwhelming risk of pervasive disenfranchisement."
On the calendar, she found the states "have neither time nor funds" to redesign ballots, update election management systems, train staff on the USPS portal and upload voter data before the midterms, and that the administration gave "no reply" to the states' argument that compliance would be impossible for many of them.
A hearing on a longer-lasting preliminary injunction is set for September 3, 2026. The executive order's separate provision directing DHS to compile lists of eligible voters and send them to states was not blocked and remains in effect.
On September 1, 2026, Sen. Richard Blumenthal released a USPS official's account of how the ballot portal is being built. The whistleblower called the work "secretive, rushed, chaotic, and fundamentally flawed," said USPS compressed into weeks a system that normally takes nine months to a year, and said testing procedures for the platform were eliminated to meet deadlines described as impossible.
The operational detail that matters most: according to the account, if a state delivers a batch of 10,000 ballots and USPS cannot match a single one against the portal, USPS would refuse to mail the other 9,999 and expect the state to take the whole batch back to fix the one.
The official warned that "potentially millions of American voters may not receive their mail-in ballot this election cycle in a timely manner, or at all." Blumenthal's letter also alleges USPS kept building the portal while injunctions barred implementation, describing a "pattern of defiance of court orders." USPS has not publicly rebutted the technical claims.

Constitutional Conflict: Implements an executive order under constitutional challenge; a district judge blocked the rule before an appeals panel let it advance while the case continues.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

The legal fight and the practical one have separated, and the practical one now has a number attached. Talwani blocked the rule on both the law and the calendar, and a postal official has since described a system built in weeks instead of a year with its testing removed. Note what the batch rule would do if it holds: one unmatched record does not delay one ballot, it returns ten thousand. Whether the rule survives appeal matters less to November than whether the machinery behind it works at all, and the people building it are saying it does not.

Sources

In Court Ruled Unlawful The Voter Data Dragnet Sep 1, 2026

A National Voter Database Nobody Authorized

CNN reported in April 2026 that the administration is building a national voter database through a DOJ-DHS data sharing deal, with 50 to 60 million voter records already collected from states, assembled through executive channels with no congressional authorization.

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CNN reported in April 2026 that the administration is building a national voter database through a DOJ-DHS data sharing deal, with 50 to 60 million voter records already collected from states, assembled through executive channels with no congressional authorization.
The DHS SAVE system it relies on flagged about 21,000 of 60 million records as possible noncitizens, 0.00035%. In Virginia's experience with the same system, 94% of people flagged as "noncitizens" were actually U.S. citizens.
Experts warn naturalized citizens are the people most likely to be wrongly caught in the net.
As of February 2026, 27 states had agreed to run their voter rolls through the revamped SAVE system against Social Security and passport data. DHS acknowledges "the SAVE Program may produce inaccurate results," and has had to correct information it gave at least five states after the system misidentified voters as noncitizens.
On June 22, 2026, U.S. District Judge Sparkle L. Sooknanan vacated the rebuilt SAVE system and its privacy notices as contrary to law, arbitrary and capricious, in excess of statutory authority, and adopted without required procedure, finding violations of the Privacy Act, the Social Security Act and the Administrative Procedure Act. Her opinion said the agencies "haphazardly combined and repurposed the private information of millions of Americans, including citizenship data that they knew to be unreliable."
The vacatur did not settle it. On July 7, 2026, U.S. District Judge T. Kent Wetherell II granted an emergency motion by Florida, Ohio, Iowa and Indiana to enforce a settlement with DHS, and a judge ordered the tool restored the next day. Two federal courts were issuing conflicting orders about the same system.
Trump's March 2026 executive order contains a section, separate from the mail-ballot provisions that have been litigated all year, directing federal agencies to compile and send each state's chief election official a list of individuals confirmed to be citizens aged 18 or older, no fewer than 60 days before each federal election.
On September 1, 2026, DHS published a "State Citizenship Lists Portal" webpage saying the lists were coming soon. A June DHS memo had set a target of having it fully functional by Friday, September 4.
The lists are not built from state voter registration files. They are assembled from federal databases whose citizenship information is incomplete, which is why plaintiffs argue actual citizens will be left off.
On September 1, 2026, the Electronic Privacy Information Center sued DHS and the Social Security Administration in federal court in Maryland, represented by Protect Democracy and Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington. The 41-page complaint cites the Privacy Act of 1974, the Social Security Act, the Administrative Procedure Act, and the constitutional allocation of election authority to the states.
The complaint alleges DHS is "aggressively pushing state election officials to use this admittedly unreliable data to purge their voter rolls of purported non-citizens, under threat of fines, penalties, and even prison time."
EPIC deputy director John Davisson: "Building a database containing the identities, Social Security numbers, addresses, and citizenship information of every U.S. citizen is an extraordinary illegal overreach."
No ruling had issued as of September 3, 2026.

Ruled Unlawful: A federal court vacated the rebuilt SAVE system on June 22, 2026 as contrary to law and in violation of the Privacy Act, the Social Security Act and the Administrative Procedure Act. A conflicting order from another district followed, and the successor State Citizenship Lists are separately under challenge.

Sources

In Effect Force at the Polls Aug 26, 2026

A Republican Governor Asks His AG to Investigate the DOJ's Election Monitors

The Justice Department sent two Civil Rights Division attorneys to observe Wyoming's primary in Laramie County, which contains Cheyenne. Gov. Mark Gordon (R) said some officials, including the state attorney general, were not told in advance.

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The Justice Department sent two Civil Rights Division attorneys to observe Wyoming's primary in Laramie County, which contains Cheyenne. Gov. Mark Gordon (R) said some officials, including the state attorney general, were not told in advance.
Gordon, at an August 26, 2026 state canvassing board meeting: "It sounded like the behavior of the observers was a bit aggressive. It just was irregular, and I have asked the attorney general to start looking into the nature of the visits."
Laramie County Chief Election Clerk Debra Lee said the observers arrived unannounced, offered no credentials, and asked detailed questions that were outside the scope of federal voting rights laws.
Gordon did not allege the election was compromised. He said the opposite: "I'm not saying anything went wrong or anything else, and I certainly think that the conduct of this election was phenomenal." His objection was jurisdictional, that the observers' behavior "seemed to exceed what the authority that Congress had given them was."
He also said he does not object to election monitors as such, adding: "I don't like the federal government coming in and taking our votes."
DOJ pointed to an August 18 statement from Wyoming U.S. Attorney Darin Smith: "Voters deserve absolute confidence that their ballots are secure and their voices are heard without interference."
DOJ has sent more than 80 monitors to seven states for primaries this year, and says it plans to send about 1,000 monitors to polling sites in November. The administration says the deployments follow decades-old federal monitoring practice.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

Voting-rights groups warned for a year that the monitor program could be used to pressure local officials rather than protect voters, and that warning was easy to file as partisan. This complaint is not. It comes from a Republican governor in one of the reddest states in the country, who volunteered that his own election was run well and that he has no objection to monitors in principle. That narrows the dispute to the one question worth watching: what these observers actually do when they arrive. Wyoming is a two-attorney, one-county sample. November is roughly 1,000 of them.

Sources

In Court Unprecedented Constitutional Conflict Seizing the Machinery Aug 24, 2026

The Supreme Court Lets the Mail-Voting Order Advance, Without Ruling It Legal

On March 31, 2026, Trump signed an executive order directing DHS to compile federal lists of "confirmed U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state" and giving the Postal Service control over mail ballot distribution. It was drafted in part by Kurt Olsen, who was involved in the 2020 election-overturn effort.

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On March 31, 2026, Trump signed an executive order directing DHS to compile federal lists of "confirmed U.S. citizens eligible to vote in each state" and giving the Postal Service control over mail ballot distribution. It was drafted in part by Kurt Olsen, who was involved in the 2020 election-overturn effort.
States refused immediately. New Hampshire's secretary of state: "The Federal Government cannot usurp New Hampshire's express constitutional authority." Twenty-three Democratic-led states sued; at least four lawsuits are pending.
The Constitution assigns election administration to the states (Article I, Section 4). Election expert David Becker predicted courts would block the order "before the ink is dry."
In May, U.S. District Judge Carl Nichols, a Trump appointee, declined to block it, reasoning that no agency had yet acted on it in a way that harmed the plaintiffs. By June, plaintiffs told an appeals court the order was already being implemented through the USPS rule and DHS memos.
On July 25, 2026, the 1st U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals (2-1) refused to lift a June 25 injunction blocking the order's key provisions in the 23 states, leaving the federal "citizenship list" and ballot-routing scheme blocked while the case proceeds.
On July 27, 2026, the DOJ took it to the Supreme Court, asking on the emergency docket to put the injunction on hold and let the order take effect in the 23 states and D.C., 99 days before the midterms. The Court ordered the states to respond by August 3. A single emergency order could decide whether the federal government screens the nation's mail ballots this fall.
Trump himself voted by mail in Florida three days before signing the order.
On August 24, 2026, the Supreme Court granted emergency applications from the DOJ and a dozen Republican-led states and lifted, 6-3, Judge Talwani's June injunction blocking the order in the 23 states and D.C. that sued.
The majority ruled on standing, not legality: any injury would come from "the downstream action that the Secretary might take in the future," which was "no more than conjecture." It added that its ruling "does not mean that any measure taken by the Government to implement the Order will necessarily be lawful."
A second, nationwide injunction Talwani issued August 11 in the League of Women Voters case was not before the Court and remains in force, so the order still cannot be implemented for November as of this update.
Sotomayor and Kagan dissented together, saying the decision "merely postpones adjudication." Jackson dissented separately: the ruling "needlessly injects chaos and uncertainty into the upcoming midterm elections."

Why it's unprecedented: The order gives the Postal Service unprecedented oversight over who receives a mail ballot and directs the first federal voter-eligibility lists.

Constitutional Conflict: Article I, Section 4 assigns election administration to the states. Twenty-three states are suing; New Hampshire's secretary of state called it a usurpation of state constitutional authority.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

Read the headline and the holding separately. The Court did not say the order is lawful; it said these plaintiffs sued too early, and it went out of its way to say implementing measures might still be unlawful. What actually stands between the order and November is the other injunction, the nationwide one, which the Court did not touch. That is a thinner thread than a ruling on the merits, and it is now the only thread.

Sources

On the Record The Narrative War Aug 21, 2026

Trump Tells Supporters He Gets Impeached if Republicans Lose

Campaigning in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina on August 21, 2026, Trump told supporters he expects to be impeached if Republicans lose the November midterms, and that they would "lose everything" if Democrats took control of Congress for his final two years.

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Campaigning in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina on August 21, 2026, Trump told supporters he expects to be impeached if Republicans lose the November midterms, and that they would "lose everything" if Democrats took control of Congress for his final two years.
He made the same argument earlier in 2026 at a House Republican policy retreat: "You got to win the midterms, because if we don't win the midterms, it's just going to be, I mean, they'll find a reason to impeach me."
Impeachment requires a House majority to impeach and two-thirds of the Senate to convict. A Democratic House alone could impeach but not remove him.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

Predicting impeachment is not improper, and a president is entitled to campaign on the stakes. What this supplies is his own statement of what he personally stands to lose, made while his administration is directing federal agencies into the administration of the same election: the mail-voting order, the USPS ballot rule, the voter-roll suits. Every other card here documents an action. This one documents the motive the president stated out loud.

Sources

Threatened Constitutional Conflict The Ballot Box Aug 10, 2026

A Draft Executive Order Declaring an 'Election Emergency'

ABC News reported in February 2026 that pro-Trump attorneys circulated a 17-page draft executive order declaring an "election emergency" based on a claim of Chinese interference in 2020 for which no evidence exists.

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ABC News reported in February 2026 that pro-Trump attorneys circulated a 17-page draft executive order declaring an "election emergency" based on a claim of Chinese interference in 2020 for which no evidence exists.
The draft would mandate voter ID for the midterms, ban mail-in ballots, and require hand-counted paper ballots, by presidential decree.
Sources told ABC that Trump reviewed the draft and that the attorneys were coordinating with the White House. Trump denied knowing about it.
Five months later, his primetime address made the same Chinese-interference claim the draft order was built on.
On August 10, 2026, asked directly whether he would declare a "national security emergency for elections" to impose citizenship, photo-ID, and mail-in rules without Congress, a plan pushed by a Real America's Voice host, Trump did not rule it out: "Let me just say that stranger things have happened, OK? I'll leave it at that."

Constitutional Conflict: The Constitution gives election authority to Congress and the states, and a federal court had already struck down a previous Trump election executive order.

Sources

In Effect The Narrative War Jul 29, 2026

Musk Revives America PAC With a Planned $100 Million Turnout Operation, Coordinating With Trump's Political Team

On July 29-30, 2026, the New York Times and Axios reported that Elon Musk authorized his super PAC, America PAC, to spend between $100 million and $120 million on a get-out-the-vote program for Republicans, beginning the following month and targeting at least eight states.

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On July 29-30, 2026, the New York Times and Axios reported that Elon Musk authorized his super PAC, America PAC, to spend between $100 million and $120 million on a get-out-the-vote program for Republicans, beginning the following month and targeting at least eight states.
The initial Senate targets are Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio, with talks about North Carolina, Georgia, and Texas, plus House races in California, Wisconsin, and Washington. The program is door-knocking, digital advertising, and direct mail aimed at turning out irregular conservative voters.
It revives the vehicle Musk used to spend more than $260 million backing Trump in 2024, again run by his top political adviser, Chris Young. The group intends to align its canvassing with the Koch network's Americans for Prosperity under recently loosened coordination rules.
Axios reported that Musk has been in talks with Trump's political team about how he can help; an America PAC spokesman, Andrew Romeo, said, "we're excited to again be part of the team."
This is legal super-PAC spending. What is documented here is its scale and the reported coordination with the president's political operation.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

This card is the boundary of our own standard. Spending money to persuade voters is legal, and we do not call it rigging. We include it because the same donor already drew an adjudicated ballot-law violation in Georgia and a bribery referral in Wisconsin, and because a nine-figure operation coordinating with the White House political team is context a reader deserves when weighing everything else on this page. Judge it as spending, not as fraud.

Sources

On the Record Replacing the Referees Jul 28, 2026

The New Intelligence Chief Wouldn't Say Who Won 2020

At his July 2026 confirmation hearing, Trump's DNI nominee Jay Clayton refused to say Joe Biden won the 2020 election, allowing only that Biden was "certified."

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At his July 2026 confirmation hearing, Trump's DNI nominee Jay Clayton refused to say Joe Biden won the 2020 election, allowing only that Biden was "certified."
Sen. Jon Ossoff pressed him repeatedly, "we can keep doing this", and Clayton kept declining to name the winner.
The hearing came the day before Trump's primetime address claiming declassified intelligence showed 2020 was compromised. Clayton would replace acting DNI Bill Pulte, who pushed for that address.
On July 28, 2026, the Senate confirmed Clayton as director of national intelligence, 51-47 on a party-line vote, putting a chief who would not say Biden won 2020 atop the 18 intelligence agencies weeks before the midterms.

Sources

On the Record The Narrative War Jul 16, 2026

The Primetime Address That Debunked Itself

On July 16, 2026, Trump delivered a 27-minute primetime address claiming U.S. elections were "left vulnerable to being rigged and stolen," that China obtained 220 million voter records, and that the "deep state" suppressed the intelligence. He demanded the SAVE Act and paper ballots: "The only reason you wouldn't [pass it] is you want to cheat."

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On July 16, 2026, Trump delivered a 27-minute primetime address claiming U.S. elections were "left vulnerable to being rigged and stolen," that China obtained 220 million voter records, and that the "deep state" suppressed the intelligence. He demanded the SAVE Act and paper ballots: "The only reason you wouldn't [pass it] is you want to cheat."
The documents he declassified undercut him: they state China "did not deploy interference efforts" to change 2020 and that election systems "would be difficult to manipulate." What they do show is Russia interfering on Trump's behalf, seeding Burisma narratives and undermining confidence in mail voting.
His own task-force investigator, John Solomon, conceded on air: "the intelligence community has zero evidence that a foreign power flipped the vote in 2020, '22, or '24."
Five days later, asked if China would face consequences, Trump shrugged: "It took place a long time ago... we do things to them too, it's not a one-way street." Sen. Mark Warner's reading of the speech: "Donald Trump intends to interfere in this year's elections... this was the opening shot."

Our take — opinion, not reporting

Follow the sequence: the claims were contradicted by his own documents, disowned by his own investigator, and finally waved off by Trump himself. What survives is the only thing the address was built to produce, doubt about the election he is restructuring.

Sources

Threatened Constitutional Conflict The Narrative War Jul 16, 2026

Air the Speech or Lose Your License

When ABC and NBC declined to carry the primetime election address on broadcast (they streamed it; CBS, Fox, and the CW aired it), Trump called the decision "fraud" and demanded their broadcast licenses be revoked.

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When ABC and NBC declined to carry the primetime election address on broadcast (they streamed it; CBS, Fox, and the CW aired it), Trump called the decision "fraud" and demanded their broadcast licenses be revoked.
The FCC's sole Democratic commissioner called the demand unconstitutional. Networks do not hold broadcast licenses; their local affiliates do, and most are owned by other companies.
The threat landed on an FCC whose chair has repeatedly threatened broadcasters over content.

Constitutional Conflict: The FCC's sole Democratic commissioner called the demand unconstitutional; the president has no authority to force outlets to air his speech or punish them for declining.

Sources

On the Record The Narrative War Jul 16, 2026

DHS Says 250,000 Noncitizens Are Registered to Vote in Four States. The States and the Fact-Checkers Say the Number Is Wildly Inflated.

In mid-July 2026, DHS claimed more than 250,000 noncitizens were registered to vote across four states: 190,832 in California, 35,152 in New Jersey, 15,903 in Nevada, and 14,576 in Pennsylvania. Secretary Markwayne Mullin promoted the numbers.

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In mid-July 2026, DHS claimed more than 250,000 noncitizens were registered to vote across four states: 190,832 in California, 35,152 in New Jersey, 15,903 in Nevada, and 14,576 in Pennsylvania. Secretary Markwayne Mullin promoted the numbers.
Snopes rated the claim false, finding zero evidence to support it. PolitiFact reported the figures were preliminary counts of the kind that shrink drastically after vetting.
New Jersey Gov. Mikie Sherrill said a 2023-24 software error had registered about 6,600 noncitizens, who cast fewer than 400 ballots statewide in total. Nevada told the New York Times that just 138 of its 2.1 million active voters lacked a driver's license or Social Security number at registration.
The inflated figure has been used to justify federal intervention in state-run elections, while the vetted counts are small enough to change no outcome.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

The number does not have to survive fact-checking to do its job. It has to exist long enough to justify the federal government reaching into four states' voter rolls.

Sources

In Effect Force at the Polls Jul 14, 2026

The National Guard Is Scheduled in the Capital Through the Next Two Elections

The Pentagon confirmed in July 2026 that the D.C. National Guard deployment will run through Inauguration Day 2029 unless Trump decides otherwise, keeping troops in the capital through the 2026 midterms and the 2028 election.

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The Pentagon confirmed in July 2026 that the D.C. National Guard deployment will run through Inauguration Day 2029 unless Trump decides otherwise, keeping troops in the capital through the 2026 midterms and the 2028 election.
The force has roughly doubled to nearly 5,000 troops from more than 20 states, at a cost the Congressional Budget Office puts above $3 million per day. It was created by a "crime emergency" declared while D.C. violent crime sat at a 30-year low.
A nonpartisan Niskanen Center study found no measurable effect on violent crime. The Brennan Center's Elizabeth Goitein: announcing an emergency will last another two and a half years means it is not an emergency.

Sources

In Court Prohibited by Law The Ballot Box Jul 14, 2026

A Bipartisan Commission Finds Musk's $1 Million Voter Checks Likely Broke the Bribery Law

On July 14, 2026, the Wisconsin Elections Commission, three Democrats and three Republicans, voted 5-1 to find probable cause that Elon Musk violated the state's election bribery law with his $1 million checks to voters before the 2025 state Supreme Court election, and referred him to prosecutors.

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On July 14, 2026, the Wisconsin Elections Commission, three Democrats and three Republicans, voted 5-1 to find probable cause that Elon Musk violated the state's election bribery law with his $1 million checks to voters before the 2025 state Supreme Court election, and referred him to prosecutors.
The commission found Musk's offer was made "to induce them to vote." He handed out two $1 million checks at a Green Bay rally days before the election and offered $100 for signing a petition.
Musk and allied groups spent at least $20 million on the race, the most expensive judicial election in U.S. history at over $100 million total. His candidate lost by 10 points.
The Brown County district attorney has 40 days from the referral to report back on charges.
On August 7, 2026, Brown County DA David Lasee said his office had a conflict of interest, without specifying it, and requested a special prosecutor. La Crosse County DA Tim Gruenke took the case over. The 40 days after the referral passed with no charging decision.

Prohibited by Law: A bipartisan state commission found probable cause that the payments violated Wisconsin's election bribery law; prosecutors now decide on charges.

Sources

In Effect Replacing the Referees Jul 11, 2026

Refuse the 2020 Probe, Lose Your Job

FBI Director Kash Patel directed roughly 260 intelligence analysts nationwide onto a "priority investigation" of Georgia's 2020 election, a race Biden won by nearly 12,000 votes and that multiple investigations, including by Georgia Republicans, found clean. Each analyst was assigned 708 record checks.

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FBI Director Kash Patel directed roughly 260 intelligence analysts nationwide onto a "priority investigation" of Georgia's 2020 election, a race Biden won by nearly 12,000 votes and that multiple investigations, including by Georgia Republicans, found clean. Each analyst was assigned 708 record checks.
Two Atlanta-based analysts, a married couple, refused on the grounds that the probe was not justified under FBI and DOJ policy. They were escorted out of the building and fired.
Sen. Mark Warner: "This diversion of significant FBI resources towards a political investigation threatens the purpose of its mission."

Sources

In Effect Unprecedented Seizing the Machinery Jul 9, 2026

The Agency That Certifies Voting Systems Is Left With Nobody Home

On July 9, 2026, Trump removed the last members of the bipartisan Election Assistance Commission, firing Democrats Thomas Hicks and Benjamin Hovland while Republican Christy McCormick was allowed to resign. With zero commissioners, the agency cannot take official action until the Senate confirms replacements.

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On July 9, 2026, Trump removed the last members of the bipartisan Election Assistance Commission, firing Democrats Thomas Hicks and Benjamin Hovland while Republican Christy McCormick was allowed to resign. With zero commissioners, the agency cannot take official action until the Senate confirms replacements.
The EAC certifies voting systems, maintains the national voter registration form, distributes federal election funds, and advises election officials. In March 2025 Trump had ordered it to rewrite the national registration form to require documentary proof of citizenship.
Months earlier, the administration blocked appointments to the EAC's Technical Guidelines Development Committee, leaving nearly half its 15 seats vacant, unprecedented in its 20-year history, with no functioning body to update voting-system security guidelines before the midterms.
Nevada Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar: it "will again fall on Secretaries of State... to fill the gap."

Why it's unprecedented: Nearly half the standards committee's seats vacant is unprecedented in its 20-year history, and the commission itself now has zero members and cannot act.

Sources

In Effect Prohibited by Law Replacing the Referees Jul 2, 2026

The Intelligence Purge Comes With Instructions

In early July 2026, dozens of intelligence officials began receiving termination notices under acting DNI Bill Pulte, two weeks into his tenure, with reporting indicating he was eyeing hundreds of firings. Those removed were described by leadership as "deep state" officials.

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In early July 2026, dozens of intelligence officials began receiving termination notices under acting DNI Bill Pulte, two weeks into his tenure, with reporting indicating he was eyeing hundreds of firings. Those removed were described by leadership as "deep state" officials.
Trump said publicly that he expects Pulte to "find out some things about the rigged elections."
His previous intelligence chief, Tulsi Gabbard, spent roughly 18 months looking for 2020 fraud evidence and found none. The White House plans to declassify thousands of documents to advance the stolen-election claim anyway.

Prohibited by Law: The DNI's election role is limited by law to foreign interference; the purge comes with instructions to find domestic 'rigged elections' evidence.

Sources

In Effect Prohibited by Law Force at the Polls Jun 24, 2026

ICE Agents Visit a Poll Worker at Her Job on Election Day

On Election Day, June 24, 2026, two ICE agents tracked down Syracuse poll worker Paigelynne Gonyea at her workplace carrying printouts of her Instagram posts and her driver's license, handed her a notice claiming she had "threatened ICE personnel," and pressed her to sign a form agreeing to delete her account.

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On Election Day, June 24, 2026, two ICE agents tracked down Syracuse poll worker Paigelynne Gonyea at her workplace carrying printouts of her Instagram posts and her driver's license, handed her a notice claiming she had "threatened ICE personnel," and pressed her to sign a form agreeing to delete her account.
Her offense: sharing an article naming the agent who shot Renee Good, captioned "I think today is a great day for Jonathan to be indicted."
She refused: "For ICE to come to me over a social media post just feels very 1984 to me... I'm kinda now even worried more about November."
The county elections commissioner noted the law bars law enforcement at polling places except in emergencies, with "no indication of that here." Rep. John Mannion demanded DHS explain who ordered the visit.

Prohibited by Law: Law bars law enforcement at polling places except in emergencies; the county elections commissioner said there was 'no indication of that here.'

Sources

On the Record The Narrative War Jun 23, 2026

Trump Brags That a Phone Call to a Prosecutor Changed a Primary

At a June 2026 rally, Trump claimed he called U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli about California's primary, "I said, Do me a favor. Take a look", and that "about an hour after the call... Mr. Hilton has won... Had I not made that call, Steve Hilton would right now be watching the election from home."

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At a June 2026 rally, Trump claimed he called U.S. Attorney Bill Essayli about California's primary, "I said, Do me a favor. Take a look", and that "about an hour after the call... Mr. Hilton has won... Had I not made that call, Steve Hilton would right now be watching the election from home."
What actually happened: Hilton advanced under California's top-two system because more ballots were counted in the days after election night, as happens routinely. No evidence suggests any prosecutor altered a tally.
Either account is disqualifying: he directed federal law enforcement at an ongoing election, or he is telling supporters that doing so works. He framed it, openly, as a success story.

Sources

In Effect The Voter Data Dragnet Jun 22, 2026

Homeland Security Money Becomes Election Leverage

In June 2026 the administration moved to condition more than $1 billion in DHS grants, money that funds state and local terrorism prevention, infrastructure protection, and disaster preparedness, on states adopting its election changes.

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In June 2026 the administration moved to condition more than $1 billion in DHS grants, money that funds state and local terrorism prevention, infrastructure protection, and disaster preparedness, on states adopting its election changes.
To keep the funding, states would have to switch to hand-marked paper ballots and run their voter rolls through the contested DHS citizenship database. Refusers reportedly face roughly a 20% cut.
Jurisdictions forced to change include Delaware, Georgia, Nevada, South Carolina, and Los Angeles County. A former DOJ lawyer predicted the requirements "will be blocked in the courts."
On July 23, 2026, more than two dozen states sued in federal court in Rhode Island over the conditions, which by then extended to FEMA disaster aid: to keep the money, states would have to verify voter citizenship through a federal database, move toward hand-marked paper ballots, run federally prescribed election audits, and cooperate with ICE. The states argue conditioning appropriated funds this way violates the Administrative Procedure Act and the Constitution's Spending Clause.

Sources

On the Record Constitutional Conflict Force at the Polls Jun 14, 2026

The Homeland Security Secretary Says He'd 'Throw Out the Constitution' to Stop Noncitizen Voting, and Won't Rule Out ICE at the Polls

On June 14, 2026, DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin told CNN he would "throw out the Constitution" to ensure that only citizens vote, then walked it back moments later: "Throw it out as an argument."

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On June 14, 2026, DHS Secretary Markwayne Mullin told CNN he would "throw out the Constitution" to ensure that only citizens vote, then walked it back moments later: "Throw it out as an argument."
He said DHS is scrubbing state voter rolls and claimed it sees "thousands" registered with mail-out ballots, without naming a single state or roll.
Asked whether ICE agents would be at polling places for the midterms, he would not rule it out, saying officers "would only be there if a threat is arised."
Every major study has found noncitizen voting to be vanishingly rare, and the Constitution assigns the administration of elections to the states.

Constitutional Conflict: The secretary named the Constitution itself as the obstacle to his aim; the Constitution assigns the administration of elections to the states, not to a federal enforcement agency.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

The cabinet secretary who runs immigration enforcement floated putting his agents near polling places, and named the Constitution as the obstacle. Federal officers at a polling place do not have to arrest anyone to change who feels safe walking in.

Sources

In Effect Force at the Polls May 29, 2026

FBI Agents at the Front Doors of Election Officials

In late May 2026, FBI Director Kash Patel sent agents unannounced to the private homes of current and former Wisconsin election officials, chasing two debunked 2020 theories: a flash drive of supposedly altered absentee results and a claim that an Illinois man secretly printed Biden ballots.

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In late May 2026, FBI Director Kash Patel sent agents unannounced to the private homes of current and former Wisconsin election officials, chasing two debunked 2020 theories: a flash drive of supposedly altered absentee results and a claim that an Illinois man secretly printed Biden ballots.
It is part of a multi-state pattern: the Fulton County raid in Georgia, seizure of ballot images and data in Arizona, and ballot demands in Michigan.
Local officials fear the FBI will try to seize Wisconsin's absentee ballots, which a quirk of state law allows to be traced back to individual voters.
No outcome-altering fraud has ever been found in Wisconsin or any state in 2020.

Sources

Blocked Seizing the Machinery May 22, 2026

Officials Tried to Ban the Voting Machines Half the Country Uses

Reuters reported in May 2026 that Trump officials, led by White House election adviser Kurt Olsen, tried to ban Dominion voting machines used in roughly 27 states by having the Commerce Department declare their components a national security risk.

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Reuters reported in May 2026 that Trump officials, led by White House election adviser Kurt Olsen, tried to ban Dominion voting machines used in roughly 27 states by having the Commerce Department declare their components a national security risk.
The goal was to force much of the country onto hand-counted paper ballots, potentially before the 2026 midterms. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick was reportedly unaware of the discussions.
The plan failed because officials could not find legal grounds to declare the machines a threat. No U.S. voting machine has ever been shown to have been hacked in an election, and about 98% of jurisdictions already produce auditable paper records.
Election-security expert Alex Halderman: switching to hand counting "would be chaotic and might facilitate cheating."

Sources

In Effect Replacing the Referees May 19, 2026

Federal Money Is Withheld Until a State Frees an Election-System Felon

Tina Peters, the Colorado county clerk convicted in 2024 of breaching her county's election equipment chasing 2020 conspiracy theories, was serving nearly nine years. Trump's federal pardon had no legal effect on her state conviction, so, per Votebeat's reporting, the administration withheld unrelated federal funds from Colorado while Trump publicly campaigned for her release.

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Tina Peters, the Colorado county clerk convicted in 2024 of breaching her county's election equipment chasing 2020 conspiracy theories, was serving nearly nine years. Trump's federal pardon had no legal effect on her state conviction, so, per Votebeat's reporting, the administration withheld unrelated federal funds from Colorado while Trump publicly campaigned for her release.
In May 2026, Gov. Jared Polis commuted her sentence. His own state party censured him for it: "It sends a message to future bad actors that election tampering has consequences, unless you're friends with the president."
Colorado Secretary of State Jena Griswold: "A clear message is being sent to those willing to break the law and attack our democracy."
In June, Trump hosted Peters at the White House, repeating the false claim she was imprisoned for "finding Election Fraud."

Sources

On the Record Replacing the Referees May 17, 2026

The Acting Attorney General's 'Ton of Evidence' He Can't Produce

In May 2026, Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche told Fox News there is "a ton of evidence" the 2020 election was stolen, while conceding the DOJ has not released it and hedging: "I'm not going to promise there's going to be a definitive answer."

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In May 2026, Acting Attorney General Todd Blanche told Fox News there is "a ton of evidence" the 2020 election was stolen, while conceding the DOJ has not released it and hedging: "I'm not going to promise there's going to be a definitive answer."
He confirmed "multiple investigations going on in Arizona, in Fulton County, Georgia."
The nation's top law enforcement officer asserting a stolen election on television, while declining to promise his department can demonstrate it, is itself the message: the claim does not need to be proven to be useful.

Sources

Democracy Docket: Attorney General says 'ton of evidence exists' of stolen election in 2020, also says he can't promise a definitive answer ↗

Threatened Force at the Polls May 10, 2026

Trump Promises an 'Election Integrity Army' at Every Polling Place

On May 10, 2026, Trump announced on Truth Social that Republicans will field an "Election Integrity Army" for the midterms, "much bigger and stronger" than 2024's poll-watching operation, without saying who would be in it or how large it would be.

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On May 10, 2026, Trump announced on Truth Social that Republicans will field an "Election Integrity Army" for the midterms, "much bigger and stronger" than 2024's poll-watching operation, without saying who would be in it or how large it would be.
It is the third parallel route to force at the polls floated in 2026, alongside Bannon's ICE threat and Hegseth's refusal to rule out following an order to deploy troops.
Sen. Chuck Schumer: "Donald Trump knows, his party knows, that they're at risk of losing this election in 2026, which is why they're working round the clock to tilt the scales unfairly in their favor."

Sources

In Effect Redrawing the Maps May 8, 2026

The Virginia Sequence: 'RIGGED,' a Raid, and a 4-3 Reversal

On April 21, 2026, Virginia voters approved a redistricting referendum 51.45% to 48.55% that could have shifted the state's delegation from 6-5 Democratic to as much as 10-1. The next morning Trump declared, in his first fraud claim about a 2026 election, "A RIGGED ELECTION TOOK PLACE LAST NIGHT IN VIRGINIA," blaming a "massive Mail In Ballot Drop" (mail ballots are counted after in-person ballots in Virginia; that is procedure, not fraud).

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On April 21, 2026, Virginia voters approved a redistricting referendum 51.45% to 48.55% that could have shifted the state's delegation from 6-5 Democratic to as much as 10-1. The next morning Trump declared, in his first fraud claim about a 2026 election, "A RIGGED ELECTION TOOK PLACE LAST NIGHT IN VIRGINIA," blaming a "massive Mail In Ballot Drop" (mail ballots are counted after in-person ballots in Virginia; that is procedure, not fraud).
On May 6, the FBI raided the office of the referendum's champion, Sen. Louise Lucas. On May 8, the Virginia Supreme Court struck the referendum down 4-3 on procedural grounds, with two Republican-appointed justices in dissent.
Trump celebrated the reversal as a "huge win" over a "horrible gerrymander", the same vote he had called rigged when it passed.
The ruling erased the one major Democratic counter-move in the post-Callais map war; no official, court, or observer had reported any irregularity in the vote itself.

Sources

In Effect Force at the Polls May 6, 2026

The FBI Raids the 82-Year-Old Legislator Behind a Redistricting Win

On May 6, 2026, the FBI raided the Portsmouth office of Sen. L. Louise Lucas, the 82-year-old president pro tempore of the Virginia Senate and the legislative architect of the redistricting referendum voters had approved two weeks earlier.

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On May 6, 2026, the FBI raided the Portsmouth office of Sen. L. Louise Lucas, the 82-year-old president pro tempore of the Virginia Senate and the legislative architect of the redistricting referendum voters had approved two weeks earlier.
The stated cause was "corruption allegations" tied to a state cannabis regulatory matter, the kind of issue not normally subject to federal raids.
The sequence: April 21, the referendum passes. April 22, Trump declares it "RIGGED." May 6, the FBI raids the legislator who championed it. May 8, the Virginia Supreme Court strikes it down 4-3.
It is the first publicly reported FBI raid on a sitting Democratic state legislator's office of the second term.

Sources

The New Republic: FBI raids office of top Democratic leader in Virginia redistricting wars ↗

Threatened Unprecedented Constitutional Conflict Force at the Polls May 5, 2026

The Emergency-Powers Track: NSPM-7, 137 Statutory Powers, and the PEADs

Since March 2026, Trump allies have publicly pushed to invoke emergency powers around the midterms: federal agents at polling places, seizure of state election infrastructure, federalized election oversight.

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Since March 2026, Trump allies have publicly pushed to invoke emergency powers around the midterms: federal agents at polling places, seizure of state election infrastructure, federalized election oversight.
A New York Times analysis by Thomas Edsall mapped the architecture experts say makes that possible. NSPM-7, signed September 2025, directs agencies to pursue "domestic terrorist organizations," a category that does not exist in federal law, citing no statute. National emergency declarations unlock powers in 137 provisions of law, and terminating one requires a veto-proof supermajority. Classified PEADs can be activated by a presidential signature alone, with no court review before taking effect.
The Brennan Center's Elizabeth Goitein calls the congressional check "a very weak constraint." Keep Our Republic's Joel McCleary: the combined effect "has no precedent in American law outside wartime."
After the July primetime election address, Trump's own former White House special counsel Ty Cobb warned the speech was designed "to add the predicate that he needs to declare an emergency at or about the time of the elections."
In late July 2026, Steve Bannon put a date on it, saying he believes Trump will declare a national emergency by late August, claiming there would be "enough evidence by mid-August" of a "massive problem" of election fraud, the fraud roughly 60 courts, Barr, and CISA have found does not exist. Asked directly, Trump said he was not considering it and denied knowing about the proposal.

Why it's unprecedented: Keep Our Republic's Joel McCleary on the combined emergency architecture: it 'has no precedent in American law outside wartime.'

Constitutional Conflict: NSPM-7 cites no statute and no constitutional provision; 'domestic terrorist organization' is a category that does not exist in federal law.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

This is the card we most want to age badly. Nothing here has been activated. But predicates are being laid in public, by the administration's own former lawyers' account, and the infrastructure spending is real, and now a former Trump strategist has named a month. We track it so that if an "election emergency" arrives around late August or in October, nobody can say it came from nowhere.

Sources

On the Record Unprecedented Redrawing the Maps May 4, 2026

'If They Have to Vote Twice, So Be It': Trump Orders a Map Race

Three days after Callais, Trump posted: "If they have to vote twice, so be it. We should demand that State Legislatures do what the Supreme Court says must be done," predicting "the Republicans will receive more than 20 House Seats in the upcoming Midterms!"

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Three days after Callais, Trump posted: "If they have to vote twice, so be it. We should demand that State Legislatures do what the Supreme Court says must be done," predicting "the Republicans will receive more than 20 House Seats in the upcoming Midterms!"
Twenty seats exceeds the projected House majority margin; the directive announces an intent to decide chamber control before votes are cast.
Louisiana, Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, South Carolina, and Tennessee moved in visible coordination within days.
Election lawyer Marc Elias called the Louisiana piece "both a redistricting power grab and a dry run for authoritarian election subversion this fall."

Why it's unprecedented: The coordination of a Supreme Court ruling, a presidential directive, governors' orders, and a public 20-seat target within days is unprecedented in modern U.S. history.

Sources

In Court Constitutional Conflict Redrawing the Maps May 4, 2026

Florida's Mid-Decade Map Hands Republicans 24 of 28 Seats

On May 4, 2026, Gov. Ron DeSantis signed a mid-decade congressional map giving Republicans the advantage in 24 of Florida's 28 districts, 86% of the delegation.

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On May 4, 2026, Gov. Ron DeSantis signed a mid-decade congressional map giving Republicans the advantage in 24 of Florida's 28 districts, 86% of the delegation.
Voters sued the same day under Florida's Fair Districts Amendment, which voters added to the state constitution in 2010 and which bars drawing districts with partisan intent.
The plaintiffs have unusual direct evidence: the map's drawer, DeSantis aide Jason Poreda, testified to the legislature that he used partisan data "mixed in" across the map during "final balancing." Under Florida law, any partisan intent is enough to strike a map.
Callais removed a federal floor, but it did not touch Florida's own constitutional ban, which is what the case will turn on.

Constitutional Conflict: Florida's voter-enacted Fair Districts Amendment bars drawing maps with partisan intent; the map's own drawer testified he used partisan data 'mixed in' during 'final balancing.'

Sources

In Court Prohibited by Law Redrawing the Maps May 4, 2026

Alabama Moves to Eliminate Both Majority-Black Districts, and Says So Out Loud

Alabama's governor called a special session to redraw the congressional map mid-decade, with legislative leaders openly stating the goal: eliminating both congressional seats currently held by Black Democrats.

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Alabama's governor called a special session to redraw the congressional map mid-decade, with legislative leaders openly stating the goal: eliminating both congressional seats currently held by Black Democrats.
The state is under court order to use its existing two-majority-Black-district map, the result of the Supreme Court's own 2023 Allen v. Milligan ruling, until 2030. Callais is the hook for revisiting it.
The May 19 primary went forward during the redistricting fight, meaning voters may have cast ballots in districts that no longer exist by November.
Three Republican-led Southern states moved within five days of each other to redraw maps reducing Black representation.

Prohibited by Law: Alabama is under federal court order, from the Supreme Court's own Allen v. Milligan line, to keep its two majority-Black districts until 2030.

Sources

Democracy Docket: Alabama prepares to eliminate majority-Black districts while moving forward with elections it may annul ↗

In Effect Replacing the Referees May 4, 2026

53 Election Deniers Are Running to Referee the Next Election

A States United Action analysis found at least 53 election-denying candidates running in 23 states for the statewide offices that certify elections, governor, secretary of state, attorney general, including in five presidential swing states.

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A States United Action analysis found at least 53 election-denying candidates running in 23 states for the statewide offices that certify elections, governor, secretary of state, attorney general, including in five presidential swing states.
In Arizona, deniers are running for all three certification roles at once. The Republican gubernatorial front-runner, Andy Biggs, voted against certifying the 2020 election in Congress.
In 2020, certification held because officials like Georgia's Brad Raffensperger and Arizona's Doug Ducey refused Trump's pressure. The 2026 ballot decides who holds those chairs in 2028.

Sources

In Effect Redrawing the Maps May 1, 2026

The Supreme Court Guts the Voting Rights Act on Numbers That Don't Add Up

On May 1, 2026, the Supreme Court ruled 6-3 in Louisiana v. Callais, striking down Louisiana's congressional map with two majority-Black districts and gutting Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act.

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On May 1, 2026, the Supreme Court ruled 6-3 in Louisiana v. Callais, striking down Louisiana's congressional map with two majority-Black districts and gutting Section 2 of the Voting Rights Act.
Justice Alito's majority opinion justified the result by claiming Black turnout now exceeds white turnout, a claim built on comparing total voting-age population instead of eligible voters. University of Florida elections expert Michael McDonald: "If I wanted to manipulate the numbers in a way that was favorable to the government's interest, I would be using voting age population." Counted properly, white turnout significantly exceeds Black turnout.
The ruling was released hours after all six conservative justices attended Trump's white-tie state dinner for King Charles III; none of the three Democratic-appointed justices attended.
The lead plaintiff, Phillip Callais, attended the January 6, 2021 'Stop the Steal' rally and posted photos from that day.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

A Supreme Court ruling is not itself rigging, even a wrong one. What earns Callais a place on this page is what it was for: within four days, Trump publicly converted it into a seat count, and six states began redrawing maps mid-decade to hit the number.

Sources

In Effect Redrawing the Maps May 1, 2026

Louisiana Cancels Its Own Primaries in the Middle of Voting

On May 1, 2026, Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry suspended the state's U.S. House primaries by executive order, citing Callais, after more than 100,000 absentee ballots had already been mailed and some had been cast. Roughly 45,000 votes already cast were nullified.

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On May 1, 2026, Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry suspended the state's U.S. House primaries by executive order, citing Callais, after more than 100,000 absentee ballots had already been mailed and some had been cast. Roughly 45,000 votes already cast were nullified.
A state court denied an emergency restraining order to keep the election on the ballot. The ACLU, the Elias Law Group, and a candidate all filed challenges.
On 60 Minutes, Landry said discarding the ballots "wasn't a big deal" and that those voters "will vote again in November."
Trump praised the move; Landry posted: "If there is one thing the Republican Party should learn from President Trump — it's to FIGHT!"

Our take — opinion, not reporting

An American governor canceled a federal election that was already underway, threw out tens of thousands of cast ballots, and faced no consequence beyond litigation. That precedent now exists, and November is the next test of it.

Sources

On the Record Prohibited by Law Force at the Polls Apr 29, 2026

The Defense Secretary Invents a Precedent for Troops at the Polls

Asked in April 2026 congressional testimony whether he would follow a hypothetical Trump order to deploy troops to polling places, an order that would violate federal law, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth declined to rule it out and instead claimed Biden "deployed troops to polling locations in 15 states" in 2024.

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Asked in April 2026 congressional testimony whether he would follow a hypothetical Trump order to deploy troops to polling places, an order that would violate federal law, Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth declined to rule it out and instead claimed Biden "deployed troops to polling locations in 15 states" in 2024.
He repeated the claim in both chambers. CNN contacted all 15 states; the 11 that responded all said no troops were at polling locations. Guard activity in 2024 was cybersecurity support or liaison work, ordered by governors, not Biden.
The false claim matters because of what it builds: a fabricated precedent that would normalize exactly the deployment he was asked about.

Prohibited by Law: The deployment he was asked about would violate the Posse Comitatus Act and 18 U.S.C. § 592, which bar armed federal forces at the polls.

Sources

CNN (Daniel Dale): Hegseth twice made a false claim to Congress about troops being sent to voting places under Biden ↗

In Court Constitutional Conflict The Voter Data Dragnet Apr 22, 2026

Alaska Quietly Hands Its Unredacted Voter Rolls to the DOJ

Under a memorandum of understanding signed in August 2025, Alaska's Republican lieutenant governor transferred the state's complete unredacted voter list, including full names, birth dates, home addresses, and driver's license or partial Social Security numbers, to the Trump DOJ.

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Under a memorandum of understanding signed in August 2025, Alaska's Republican lieutenant governor transferred the state's complete unredacted voter list, including full names, birth dates, home addresses, and driver's license or partial Social Security numbers, to the Trump DOJ.
The ACLU, the Electronic Privacy Information Center, the League of Women Voters of Alaska, and the Alaska Black Caucus sued in April 2026, asking a court to void the MOU, order the DOJ to destroy all copies, and bar future transfers.
ACLU attorney Theresa J. Lee: the state "has put both privacy and democracy at serious risk." Civil rights groups argue the program is designed to engineer purges of Democratic-leaning voters, voters with immigrant-sounding names, and voters of color.
Alaska is small, but the MOU is a template: if it survives, other Republican-led states can copy it before November.
The purge then arrived. On July 23, 2026, the state removed 3,048 people from its active voter list, many of them U.S. citizens wrongly flagged as noncitizens by the Alaska DMV. Elections director Carol Beecher blamed "old data" and said a normal annual check flags "more like 200 names," not 3,000. Those removed can vote only by producing extra documentation, the exact citizenship-flagging harm this data campaign was warned would cause.

Constitutional Conflict: The lawsuit alleges the unredacted transfer was unconstitutional; plaintiffs want the MOU voided and every federal copy destroyed.

Sources

Threatened Replacing the Referees Apr 19, 2026

'Arrests Coming Soon' for a Conspiracy 60 Courts Rejected

FBI Director Kash Patel went on Fox News in April 2026 and announced: "We are going to be making arrests, and it's coming — and I promise you, it's coming soon," claiming "we have the information that backs President Trump's claim" about 2020. He named no targets and cited no crimes.

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FBI Director Kash Patel went on Fox News in April 2026 and announced: "We are going to be making arrests, and it's coming — and I promise you, it's coming soon," claiming "we have the information that backs President Trump's claim" about 2020. He named no targets and cited no crimes.
The claims have been rejected by 60+ courts, by Trump's own attorney general ("no evidence of fraud that would change the outcome"), and by Trump's own CISA ("the most secure election in American history").
Michigan's attorney general read the announcement as an effort to "sow fresh doubts about electoral integrity ahead of midterms."

Sources

Blocked Ruled Unlawful The Voter Data Dragnet Apr 17, 2026

A Subpoena for the Names and Home Addresses of 3,000 Election Workers

In April 2026 the DOJ subpoenaed Fulton County for its full 2020 election staff roster: names, home addresses, email addresses, and personal phone numbers for nearly 3,000 employees, temporary poll workers, and volunteers.

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In April 2026 the DOJ subpoenaed Fulton County for its full 2020 election staff roster: names, home addresses, email addresses, and personal phone numbers for nearly 3,000 employees, temporary poll workers, and volunteers.
Fulton County Commission Chair Robb Pitts said the purpose was "to intimidate workers in our county, to discourage people from voting," and the county filed a 27-page motion to block it. A federal judge later rejected the DOJ's demand for election workers' names as "unreasonable."
Poll worker rosters are not historically material to fraud investigations. The likely operational effect is a chilling one: many of the same people would be staffing the November midterms.

Ruled Unlawful: A federal judge rejected the DOJ's demand for election workers' names as 'unreasonable.'

Sources

In Effect Unprecedented Replacing the Referees Apr 13, 2026

The 75 People Who Protected the 2020 Election Are Gone

A ProPublica investigation found that 75 federal officials who defended the integrity of the 2020 election have been fired, resigned, or been reassigned, and that roughly 24 Trump loyalists now hold election-affecting positions, including about 10 who actively worked to overturn the 2020 result.

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A ProPublica investigation found that 75 federal officials who defended the integrity of the 2020 election have been fired, resigned, or been reassigned, and that roughly 24 Trump loyalists now hold election-affecting positions, including about 10 who actively worked to overturn the 2020 result.
Officials have been hired directly from election-denial activist groups; ProPublica describes the movement as having "merged with the federal government." The CISA specialists who debunked the Antrim County conspiracy are all gone.
ProPublica's conclusion: 2026 will be "an unprecedented stress test of the integrity of American elections."

Why it's unprecedented: ProPublica's conclusion: 2026 will be 'an unprecedented stress test of the integrity of American elections.'

Sources

ProPublica: Inside Trump's Effort to 'Take Over' the Midterm Elections ↗

In Effect The Ballot Box Mar 26, 2026

Everything Becomes Hostage to the SAVE Act

The SAVE Act would require documentary proof of citizenship, a passport or birth certificate, to register to vote, and would end the online and mail registration used for 94% of registrations. More than 21 million eligible Americans lack ready access to those documents; only 21% of households earning under $50,000 have passports.

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The SAVE Act would require documentary proof of citizenship, a passport or birth certificate, to register to vote, and would end the online and mail registration used for 94% of registrations. More than 21 million eligible Americans lack ready access to those documents; only 21% of households earning under $50,000 have passports.
The verification systems it relies on are famously wrong: Virginia's purge flagged 94% citizens; North Carolina found 98% of flagged "noncitizens" were citizens; Kansas's version blocked 31,000 eligible citizens while catching virtually none.
To force it through, Trump shut down DHS for 40+ days over it (Sen. John Kennedy revealed Trump personally killed a bipartisan deal to pay TSA workers), had Sen. Cornyn reverse his career-long filibuster position, and in June canceled the signing of the biggest housing-affordability bill in a generation an hour before the ceremony, writing that it stays "cancelled until such time as we pass the desperately needed SAVE AMERICA ACT."
Trump privately told Republicans that banning mail ballots would "guarantee the midterms."
July 23, 2026: with the bill still stalled in the Senate, Trump pressed for as much of the SAVE Act as possible before the August recess. Leavitt said his "patience is running out" and named Majority Leader John Thune, who fired back that the White House should get the votes itself.
July 27, 2026: Trump escalated, posting that Thune should not let the Senate "leave town" until it passes the SAVE Act "or, far better still, TERMINATES THE FILIBUSTER." Thune again said he does not have the votes for either.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

You don't hold airport security and housing policy hostage for an election-administration bill unless the bill is the point. By the administration's own private framing, it is: fewer people registering means better Republican math.

Sources

On the Record The Ballot Box Mar 25, 2026

The President Votes by Mail While Calling It 'Mail-In Cheating'

Palm Beach County records show Donald, Melania, and Barron Trump all voted by mail in a March 2026 Florida special election. The day before the election, Trump declared in Memphis: "Mail-in voting means mail-in cheating."

▸ 4 facts · 3 sources ▾ Collapse

Palm Beach County records show Donald, Melania, and Barron Trump all voted by mail in a March 2026 Florida special election. The day before the election, Trump declared in Memphis: "Mail-in voting means mail-in cheating."
Asked why he voted by mail while at Mar-a-Lago during in-person early voting, he answered, "Because I'm president of the United States," then claimed he had to be in Washington; a reporter fact-checked him to his face: "You were in Palm Beach, sir."
PolitiFact rated his fraud claim Pants on Fire; documented mail-ballot fraud runs about 4 cases per 10 million votes.
A Democrat then flipped his home district, the 29th state legislative seat Democrats have flipped since his second term began.

Sources

On the Record Constitutional Conflict The Narrative War Feb 27, 2026

'We're Entitled to It': The Third-Term Drumbeat

In his 2026 State of the Union: "this should be my third term." Two days later at a Texas rally: "We're entitled to it, because they cheated like hell in the second." In May, to a room of business leaders: he'll "get out of office in, let's say, eight or nine years from now."

▸ 4 facts · 3 sources ▾ Collapse

In his 2026 State of the Union: "this should be my third term." Two days later at a Texas rally: "We're entitled to it, because they cheated like hell in the second." In May, to a room of business leaders: he'll "get out of office in, let's say, eight or nine years from now."
The 22nd Amendment is unambiguous: "No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice."
In May 2026, four of Trump's federal judicial nominees refused to affirm to the Senate Judiciary Committee that the 22nd Amendment bars a third term. These are people who would sit in judgment of any future challenge.
Former federal prosecutor Joyce Vance's warning: do not dismiss this as "mere trolling."

Constitutional Conflict: The 22nd Amendment is explicit: 'No person shall be elected to the office of the President more than twice.'

Sources

On the Record The Ballot Box Feb 19, 2026

'We Won't Lose a Race for 50 Years'

At a Georgia rally in February 2026, Trump said that eliminating mail-in ballots means Republicans "won't lose a race for 50 years," calling mail ballots "crooked as hell" and proposing to limit them to military, ill, and disabled voters.

▸ 3 facts · 2 sources ▾ Collapse

At a Georgia rally in February 2026, Trump said that eliminating mail-in ballots means Republicans "won't lose a race for 50 years," calling mail ballots "crooked as hell" and proposing to limit them to military, ill, and disabled voters.
He falsely claimed the U.S. is "the only country in the world" with mail voting; at least 34 countries use postal voting, including the UK, Germany, and Canada.
Stating that a voting restriction guarantees your party never loses is a description of voter suppression, offered as the sales pitch.

Sources

In Effect Prohibited by Law The Ballot Box Feb 19, 2026

Georgia's Election Board Reprimands Musk's America PAC for Mailing Prefilled Absentee Ballot Applications

On February 19, 2026, the Georgia State Election Board voted to reprimand Elon Musk's America PAC for sending voters partially prefilled absentee ballot applications.

▸ 4 facts · 2 sources · our take ▾ Collapse

On February 19, 2026, the Georgia State Election Board voted to reprimand Elon Musk's America PAC for sending voters partially prefilled absentee ballot applications.
Georgia law, O.C.G.A. 21-2-381, prohibits non-relatives from sending prefilled ballot applications. The board also found the mailings lacked the required disclaimer that they were not official government publications.
The investigation began in October 2024 after complaints from voters in Chattooga, Cherokee, Coweta, Floyd, and Whitfield counties; a police report was filed in January and security-camera footage documented at least one incident.
The penalty was a formal letter of reprimand, which was widely criticized as a slap on the wrist. Musk spent more than $250 million through America PAC to help elect Trump in 2024.

Prohibited by Law: The Georgia State Election Board found the mailings violated O.C.G.A. 21-2-381, which bars non-relatives from sending prefilled absentee ballot applications, and the state's disclaimer requirement.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

The voter-fraud machinery that spent 2026 hunting for noncitizens on the rolls found an actual, adjudicated violation of ballot law in Georgia. It was committed by the president's largest donor, and it cost him a letter.

Sources

Threatened Constitutional Conflict The Ballot Box Feb 13, 2026

Trump Says There Will Be Voter ID in the Midterms 'Whether Approved by Congress or Not'

On February 13, 2026, Trump posted: "There will be Voter I.D. for the Midterm Elections, whether approved by Congress or not!" He added that if it could not get through Congress, he would present the requirement "shortly, in the form of an Executive Order."

▸ 4 facts · 3 sources · our take ▾ Collapse

On February 13, 2026, Trump posted: "There will be Voter I.D. for the Midterm Elections, whether approved by Congress or not!" He added that if it could not get through Congress, he would present the requirement "shortly, in the form of an Executive Order."
The House had narrowly passed the SAVE America Act 218-213, requiring proof of citizenship and photo ID; Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer called it dead on arrival in the Senate.
A federal judge had already struck down Trump's earlier election executive order as unconstitutional, writing that "our Constitution entrusts Congress and the states, not the president, with the authority to regulate federal elections."
Article I, Section 4 of the Constitution assigns the rules of federal elections to the states and to Congress. Election-law experts say the president has no authority to set them by decree.

Constitutional Conflict: Article I, Section 4 assigns federal election rules to Congress and the states; a federal judge had already struck down Trump's earlier election executive order, holding the Constitution entrusts that authority "not the president."

Our take — opinion, not reporting

A president announcing he will impose election rules whether or not the legislature agrees is not a policy dispute. It is a claim to a power the Constitution deliberately withheld from him, made out loud, in advance.

Sources

On the Record The Narrative War Feb 11, 2026

Trump Says Unfavorable Polling Should Be 'Virtually a Criminal Offence,' Then Gallup Ends 88 Years of Approval Tracking

After a January 22, 2026 New York Times/Siena poll put his approval at 40 percent against 56 percent disapproval, Trump posted that "Fake and Fraudulent Polling should be, virtually, a criminal offence" and that "something has to be done about Fake Polls! They are truly OUT OF CONTROL."

▸ 4 facts · 3 sources · our take ▾ Collapse

After a January 22, 2026 New York Times/Siena poll put his approval at 40 percent against 56 percent disapproval, Trump posted that "Fake and Fraudulent Polling should be, virtually, a criminal offence" and that "something has to be done about Fake Polls! They are truly OUT OF CONTROL."
He announced the poll would be added to his $15 billion lawsuit against the New York Times, saying the paper "will be held fully responsible for all of their Radical Left lies and wrongdoing."
The 40 percent figure was consistent with other polling at the time; the RealClearPolitics average stood at about 42.5 percent.
On February 11, 2026, Gallup announced it would stop tracking presidential approval after roughly eight decades.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

Polling is not election machinery. It is the instrument the public uses to know where it stands before a vote, and a president threatening to criminalize the unflattering readings is trying to take that instrument away.

Sources

Threatened Prohibited by Law Force at the Polls Feb 5, 2026

'You're Damn Right We're Going to Have ICE Surround the Polls'

Steve Bannon, on his War Room podcast: "You're damn right we're going to have ICE surround the polls come November."

▸ 3 facts · 3 sources ▾ Collapse

Steve Bannon, on his War Room podcast: "You're damn right we're going to have ICE surround the polls come November."
Asked about it the same day, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt declined to rule it out: "I can't guarantee that an ICE agent won't be around a polling location in November," adding only that there were "no formal plans."
Federal and state laws prohibit federal law enforcement from patrolling polling places. Even the threat works as intimidation, deterring immigrant families and mixed-status households from voting.

Prohibited by Law: Federal and state law prohibit federal law-enforcement agents from patrolling polling places.

Sources

On the Record Constitutional Conflict The Narrative War Feb 2, 2026

'The Republicans Ought to Nationalize the Voting'

On February 2, 2026, Trump said on the Dan Bongino Show: "We should take over the voting in at least — many, 15 places. The Republicans ought to nationalize the voting," naming Detroit, Philadelphia, and Atlanta as "extremely corrupt" without evidence. The Constitution assigns election administration to the states.

▸ 4 facts · 3 sources ▾ Collapse

On February 2, 2026, Trump said on the Dan Bongino Show: "We should take over the voting in at least — many, 15 places. The Republicans ought to nationalize the voting," naming Detroit, Philadelphia, and Atlanta as "extremely corrupt" without evidence. The Constitution assigns election administration to the states.
Three days later, asked whether he would accept the midterm results: "I will, if the elections are honest. If the elections aren't honest, then something else has to happen."
In the same interview he denied having used the word "nationalize," despite the recording.
Dartmouth election scholar Brendan Nyhan: "The last time he started talking like this, his allies minimized the risks and we ended up with Jan 6... These comments are a five-alarm fire for democracy."

Constitutional Conflict: Article I, Section 4 assigns election administration to the states. Schumer called the proposal 'outlandishly illegal.'

Sources

In Effect Unprecedented Prohibited by Law Seizing the Machinery Jan 28, 2026

The FBI Raids a County Election Office and Seizes the 2020 Ballots

On January 28, 2026, the FBI raided the Fulton County, Georgia elections office and seized roughly 700 boxes of 2020 ballots, along with tabulator tapes, voter rolls, and electronic ballot images. ABC News called the seizure "apparently unprecedented."

▸ 4 facts · 4 sources · our take ▾ Collapse

On January 28, 2026, the FBI raided the Fulton County, Georgia elections office and seized roughly 700 boxes of 2020 ballots, along with tabulator tapes, voter rolls, and electronic ballot images. ABC News called the seizure "apparently unprecedented."
Trump personally ordered Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard to Atlanta. She was physically present at the raid, despite the DNI being barred by law from domestic law enforcement, and she put agents on speakerphone with Trump, who thanked them in what officials described as a "pep talk."
The warrant was premised on 2020 fraud claims that roughly 60 courts, Trump's own attorney general, and Georgia's Republican secretary of state had already rejected.
Fulton County called the warrant improper and is fighting in court to keep the materials in Georgia under seal.

Why it's unprecedented: ABC News called the federal seizure of a state's 2020 ballots 'apparently unprecedented,' and no Director of National Intelligence had ever joined a domestic law-enforcement raid.

Prohibited by Law: Federal law bars the DNI from participating in domestic law enforcement. Gabbard was physically present, on the president's orders.

Our take — opinion, not reporting

Five years after an election he lost by 12,000 votes in the state, the president sent the FBI and his intelligence chief into the county that counted it. Whatever this is, it is not evidence-gathering. It is a demonstration to every election office in the country of what happens to jurisdictions he loses.

Sources

In Effect The Voter Data Dragnet Jan 25, 2026

The Attorney General Ties Federal Enforcement Decisions to a State's Voter Rolls

In January 2026, Attorney General Pam Bondi sent Gov. Tim Walz a letter requesting access to Minnesota's voter rolls for a federal "compliance review," along with the state's Medicaid and SNAP records, and urging repeal of sanctuary policies.

▸ 3 facts · 3 sources ▾ Collapse

In January 2026, Attorney General Pam Bondi sent Gov. Tim Walz a letter requesting access to Minnesota's voter rolls for a federal "compliance review," along with the state's Medicaid and SNAP records, and urging repeal of sanctuary policies.
News outlets across the spectrum reported that the letter tied future federal enforcement decisions in Minnesota to the state's cooperation.
The demand arrived while federal agents were deployed in Minneapolis, making the leverage explicit: enforcement posture on one side of the scale, voter data on the other.

Sources

In Effect Unprecedented Prohibited by Law Seizing the Machinery May 1, 2025

Intelligence Officials Take Puerto Rico's Voting Machines on a Venezuela Pretext

In May 2025, DNI Tulsi Gabbard's office obtained Puerto Rico's voting machines, with the local U.S. attorney, Homeland Security Investigations, and the FBI facilitating the handover, to investigate claims that Venezuela had hacked them.

▸ 4 facts · 3 sources ▾ Collapse

In May 2025, DNI Tulsi Gabbard's office obtained Puerto Rico's voting machines, with the local U.S. attorney, Homeland Security Investigations, and the FBI facilitating the handover, to investigate claims that Venezuela had hacked them.
No evidence of Venezuelan interference was found. A later teardown found ordinary chips from China, Japan, South Korea, and Malaysia, no Venezuelan code, and no hacking.
Sen. Mark Warner: "Absent a foreign nexus, intelligence agencies have absolutely no lawful role in domestic election administration. This is exactly the kind of overreach Congress wrote the law to prevent."
Puerto Rico does not vote in presidential elections. Election experts read the episode as a test run for seizing machines somewhere that lacked the political power to resist.

Why it's unprecedented: Election experts called ODNI's hands-on role in election infrastructure unprecedented; domestic election security belongs to states and law enforcement, not spy agencies.

Prohibited by Law: Sen. Warner: absent a foreign nexus, intelligence agencies have 'absolutely no lawful role in domestic election administration.' No foreign nexus was found.

Sources

2020–2025 · Before this record

The prehistory

The 2026 campaign did not start in 2026. These are the documented precedents — the same claims, aimed at elections he had already run in. Every entry links to primary sources, and all 7 count toward the trust counter at the top of the page.

2020 2 entries

Nov 4
The Big Lie Begins
Beginning on election night 2020, Trump claimed the election was stolen. Dozens of campaign and ally lawsuits were dismissed; his own attorney general said the DOJ found no outcome-changing fraud; an AP investigation found fewer than 475 potential fraud cases across six battleground states. CREW later documented 500+ Truth Social posts repeating the conspiracy claims.

AP ↗CNBC ↗Washington Post ↗CREW ↗
Dec 14
The Fake Electors Scheme
Trump and allies organized fake slates of electors in seven states Biden won: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, New Mexico, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. On December 14, 2020, the fake electors met and signed false certificates that were sent to Congress, groundwork for rejecting the real votes on January 6. Trump and 18 others were later indicted in Georgia's RICO case; multiple fake electors pleaded guilty.

National Archives ↗January 6 Committee Report, Chapter 3 ↗Just Security ↗NBC News ↗

2021 2 entries

Jan 2
'I Just Want to Find 11,780 Votes'
In a recorded call, Trump pressured Georgia's Republican secretary of state, Brad Raffensperger: 'All I want to do is this. I just want to find 11,780 votes, which is one more than we have. Because we won the state.' Raffensperger refused. The full audio is public.

Washington Post ↗
Jan 6
January 6
After telling supporters to 'fight like hell,' Trump's crowd attacked the Capitol to stop certification. Five people died in connection with the attack and more than 140 police officers were injured. Rioters erected gallows and chanted 'Hang Mike Pence' while Trump tweeted that Pence lacked 'the courage.' He was impeached for incitement of insurrection, with the most bipartisan conviction vote in history. More than 1,500 people were charged.

NPR ↗FactCheck.org ↗House January 6 Committee ↗Newsweek ↗

2022 1 entry

Dec 3
Calling for the 'Termination' of the Constitution
On Truth Social, Trump wrote that a 'Massive Fraud of this type and magnitude allows for the termination of all rules, regulations, and articles, even those found in the Constitution,' and suggested he should be reinstated or a new election held. Pence: 'Anyone who puts himself over the Constitution should never be President.' Trump never retracted it.

CNN ↗NBC News ↗

2024 1 entry

Nov 1
'The Only Way We Lose Is If They Cheat'
Before the 2024 election, Trump repeated pre-emptive fraud claims: 'If I lose, it was rigged,' 'The only way we lose is if they cheat,' 'They're already cheating in Pennsylvania.' Then he won, and the claims stopped instantly, about the same machines, the same mail ballots, the same officials. He later said of 2024: 'I believe there was cheating... but it was too big to rig.' The rule the record shows: elections are rigged exactly when he loses.

CNN transcript ↗The Independent ↗

2025 1 entry

Jan 20
Blanket Pardons for January 6
On his first day back in office, Trump granted clemency to roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, including Oath Keepers and Proud Boys leaders convicted of seditious conspiracy and more than 600 people convicted of assaulting police. The pardons wiped an estimated $1.3 billion in restitution and recast the attack on the election's certification as a wrong done to the attackers.

DOJ ↗Washington Post ↗NPR ↗

In order

The sequence

Every documented action, oldest first — 51 of 52 have come since January 2026. Click any entry to open its full record, with sources, above.

Reading the record

The pattern

Analysis — our interpretation of the sourced record above

Take the 52 cards above as one story and a shape emerges. The machinery moves first: ballots seized, the certification agency emptied, the post office deputized. The data comes next: voter files demanded from every state that will hand them over, and sued for where they won't. Then the people: the officials who protected 2020 replaced, the analysts who refuse reassigned or fired, election deniers running for the offices that certify the next race. And over all of it, the narrative — rigged, stolen, corrupt — repeated until any result that goes the wrong way arrives pre-delegitimized.

The record also shows the counterforce. Courts have ruled against the voter-data campaign nine straight times, five of those rulings from Trump-appointed judges. States have refused. A bipartisan commission referred the world's richest man to prosecutors. The system is not gone — it is under load, and some of it is holding.

He doesn't need a coup if he controls who counts, who certifies, and who can vote. He just needs to call it an election.

That sentence is our thesis, and it is an opinion. The 173 sources above are not.

Dated triggers

What to watch

The record above is history. These are the dates and open threats where it becomes the future.

Decided Aug 24 The Supreme Court mail-ballot application. Decided. On August 24 the Court granted the DOJ's emergency application 6-3 and lifted the injunction covering the 23 states and D.C. that sued, ruling they sued too soon rather than that the order is lawful, and adding that implementing measures may still be unlawful. A second, nationwide injunction from August 11 was not before the Court and still blocks implementation. That one injunction is now the only thing standing between the order and November. See the card.
Recess passed The SAVE Act. Trump pressed the Senate to pass the SAVE Act, or "TERMINATE THE FILIBUSTER," before the August recess. Majority Leader Thune said he had the votes for neither, and the bill had not passed as of this update. Watch whether it moves when the Senate returns, and whether the failure feeds the push for an executive-order route instead. See the card.
Window closing The "national emergency" watch. Steve Bannon said in late July he believes Trump will declare a national emergency by late August, claiming there will be "enough evidence by mid-August" of election fraud, the fraud courts, Barr, and CISA all found does not exist. Trump denied considering it in July. On August 10, asked directly whether he would declare a "national security emergency for elections," he answered: "Stranger things have happened, OK? I'll leave it at that." Late August has arrived; as of this update no emergency has been declared. See the card.
Ruling pending Washington's voter rolls. The DOJ's demand for Washington State's voter rolls was argued August 4 and is undecided. The department is 0 for 21 in these suits, having lost every resolved case; a loss here would be the 22nd. See the card.
Handed off The Musk charging decision. The 40 days after the July 14 referral passed without one. On August 7, Brown County DA David Lasee said his office had a conflict of interest, without saying what it was, and requested a special prosecutor. La Crosse County DA Tim Gruenke now holds the election-bribery question over the $1 million voter checks, on no announced timetable. See the card.
Sept 4, 2026 The State Citizenship Lists. A section of the March executive order that the mail-ballot litigation never reached directs federal agencies to send every state a list of people they have confirmed to be citizens aged 18 or older. DHS posted the portal on September 1 saying the lists were coming soon, and a June DHS memo targeted having it fully functional by September 4. EPIC sued DHS and the Social Security Administration the same day the portal appeared. No ruling yet. See the card.
Mid-Sept 2026 The mail-ballot gate. The USPS rule would have to be implemented before ballot mailing begins. Two things now stand in the way: the nationwide injunction the Supreme Court did not touch on August 24, and the calendar. Postal officials and election administrators said in late August that the barcode and portal requirements can no longer be rolled out cleanly across thousands of county offices in the time left. States sued again on August 26. See the card.
Open threat Patel's promised arrests. The FBI director announced 2020-related arrests "coming soon" in April. No targets or crimes have been named. The threat stays open on purpose. See the card.
Oct–Nov 2026 An "election emergency." Trump's own former White House special counsel says the primetime address was built "to add the predicate" for declaring an emergency at election time. If one is declared, the machinery in the emergency-powers card is what it runs on. See the card.
Nov 3, 2026 Election Day. Trump has said he will accept the results "if they are honest" — and that if not, "something else has to happen." See the card.

Before you leave this page

Protect the vote

Documentation only matters if it moves you to act. None of this requires a side. It requires that you can vote, that you know your rights, and that you can check this record for yourself.

Make sure you can vote

Confirm your registration, or register, at vote.gov, the official federal portal. Check your state's deadlines, ID rules, and mail-ballot options at CanIVote.org, run by the bipartisan National Association of Secretaries of State.

The rules are changing this cycle, see the SAVE Act and mail-ballot cards above. Check again close to the election.

If someone tries to stop you

Voter intimidation and being wrongly turned away are illegal. Call the nonpartisan Election Protection hotline, staffed by volunteer lawyers:

866-OUR-VOTE (866-687-8683)
888-VE-Y-VOTA en español (888-839-8682)

Report problems to your state or county election office. If you are in line when polls close, stay, you have the right to vote.

Check our work, then share it

Every card on this page links to its sources. Don't take our word for it, read them and decide for yourself.

Then send someone the receipt, not just the headline: open any entry and use Copy link to this entry to share that specific record.

Standards

Method

What gets included

Actions by Trump, his administration, or allies he directed, endorsed, or enabled, aimed at the machinery, rules, personnel, or legitimacy of the 2026 midterms.
Not included: ordinary partisan politics, campaigning, or policies we merely disagree with.
Statements count when they are threats, directives, or admissions — and they are labeled "On the Record," not treated as completed acts.

Sourcing rules

Every card links to its sources; nearly all claims carry two or more independent outlets, including right-leaning outlets when they covered the story.
Single-sourced items are noted as such in the card.
We use the most precise language the evidence supports — "blocked" is not "killed," "reported" is not "proven."
Corrections are made openly, not quietly.

One standard for everyone

A claim that an election was stolen requires evidence, no matter who makes it or who it benefits.
That is the standard by which 60+ courts, Trump's own attorney general, and his own cybersecurity agency rejected the 2020 fraud claims. It is the same standard we would apply to any fraud claim about 2024 or 2026, including from people who oppose Trump.
This page documents actions that are themselves documented — orders signed, words spoken, suits filed — not statistical inferences about secret manipulation.

Flag criteria

Unprecedented is applied only where the cited officials, experts, or reporting say an action has no equivalent, and the card states that basis.
Ruled Unlawful means a court has ruled against the action itself.
Prohibited by Law means the action conflicts with explicit statute or a standing court order.
Constitutional Conflict means the action collides with constitutional text or the Constitution's allocation of power, per the litigation and experts cited. Courts may not have ruled yet, and we say so.
The trust counter in the header totals entries, 7 from the 2020–2025 prehistory plus 12 from the 2026 record, in which Trump or his administration publicly asserted that American elections are rigged, fraudulent, or illegitimate, or acted publicly to delegitimize a result. One entry can bundle many statements, so the count is conservative.

Status definitions

In Effect — happened or currently operating.
In Court — operative or contested, with litigation pending.
Blocked — stopped by courts, or abandoned after failing.
Threatened — announced or planned, not yet executed.
On the Record — a statement, directive, or admission in the speaker's own words.

Rigged beforethe vote.

Facts and takes are separated. On purpose.

The facts

Our take

The scoreboard

The record

The DOJ Sues 30 States for Voter Files and Loses Twenty-One Straight Times

The Post Office Finalizes Its Ballot-Refusal Rule While a Court Order Blocks It

A National Voter Database Nobody Authorized

A Republican Governor Asks His AG to Investigate the DOJ's Election Monitors

The Supreme Court Lets the Mail-Voting Order Advance, Without Ruling It Legal

Trump Tells Supporters He Gets Impeached if Republicans Lose

A Draft Executive Order Declaring an 'Election Emergency'

Musk Revives America PAC With a Planned $100 Million Turnout Operation, Coordinating With Trump's Political Team

The New Intelligence Chief Wouldn't Say Who Won 2020

The Primetime Address That Debunked Itself

Air the Speech or Lose Your License

DHS Says 250,000 Noncitizens Are Registered to Vote in Four States. The States and the Fact-Checkers Say the Number Is Wildly Inflated.

The National Guard Is Scheduled in the Capital Through the Next Two Elections

A Bipartisan Commission Finds Musk's $1 Million Voter Checks Likely Broke the Bribery Law

Refuse the 2020 Probe, Lose Your Job

The Agency That Certifies Voting Systems Is Left With Nobody Home

The Intelligence Purge Comes With Instructions

ICE Agents Visit a Poll Worker at Her Job on Election Day

Trump Brags That a Phone Call to a Prosecutor Changed a Primary

Homeland Security Money Becomes Election Leverage

The Homeland Security Secretary Says He'd 'Throw Out the Constitution' to Stop Noncitizen Voting, and Won't Rule Out ICE at the Polls

FBI Agents at the Front Doors of Election Officials

Officials Tried to Ban the Voting Machines Half the Country Uses

Federal Money Is Withheld Until a State Frees an Election-System Felon

The Acting Attorney General's 'Ton of Evidence' He Can't Produce

Trump Promises an 'Election Integrity Army' at Every Polling Place

The Virginia Sequence: 'RIGGED,' a Raid, and a 4-3 Reversal

The FBI Raids the 82-Year-Old Legislator Behind a Redistricting Win

The Emergency-Powers Track: NSPM-7, 137 Statutory Powers, and the PEADs

'If They Have to Vote Twice, So Be It': Trump Orders a Map Race

Florida's Mid-Decade Map Hands Republicans 24 of 28 Seats

Alabama Moves to Eliminate Both Majority-Black Districts, and Says So Out Loud

53 Election Deniers Are Running to Referee the Next Election

The Supreme Court Guts the Voting Rights Act on Numbers That Don't Add Up

Louisiana Cancels Its Own Primaries in the Middle of Voting

The Defense Secretary Invents a Precedent for Troops at the Polls

Alaska Quietly Hands Its Unredacted Voter Rolls to the DOJ

'Arrests Coming Soon' for a Conspiracy 60 Courts Rejected

A Subpoena for the Names and Home Addresses of 3,000 Election Workers

The 75 People Who Protected the 2020 Election Are Gone

Everything Becomes Hostage to the SAVE Act

The President Votes by Mail While Calling It 'Mail-In Cheating'

'We're Entitled to It': The Third-Term Drumbeat

'We Won't Lose a Race for 50 Years'

Georgia's Election Board Reprimands Musk's America PAC for Mailing Prefilled Absentee Ballot Applications

Trump Says There Will Be Voter ID in the Midterms 'Whether Approved by Congress or Not'

Trump Says Unfavorable Polling Should Be 'Virtually a Criminal Offence,' Then Gallup Ends 88 Years of Approval Tracking

'You're Damn Right We're Going to Have ICE Surround the Polls'

'The Republicans Ought to Nationalize the Voting'

The FBI Raids a County Election Office and Seizes the 2020 Ballots

The Attorney General Ties Federal Enforcement Decisions to a State's Voter Rolls

Intelligence Officials Take Puerto Rico's Voting Machines on a Venezuela Pretext

The prehistory

2020 2 entries

2021 2 entries

2022 1 entry

2024 1 entry

2025 1 entry

The sequence

May 2025 1 action

January 2026 2 actions

February 2026 7 actions

March 2026 2 actions

April 2026 5 actions

May 2026 14 actions

June 2026 4 actions

July 2026 10 actions

August 2026 4 actions

September 2026 3 actions

The pattern

What to watch

Protect the vote

Make sure you can vote

If someone tries to stop you

Rigged before
the vote.